Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#4957 New York Mets vs.
#4958 Miami Marlins
Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 6:40pm EDT
Written by Kevin V.

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The New York Mets (78-73, 3rd NL East) play the third and final game of a three-game series in south Florida on Wednesday against National League East rival the Miami Marlins (70-80, 4th NL East). New York defeated Miami 2-1 on Monday in the series opener. The Mets have won two straight but are 26 games behind first place in the NL East and 8 games behind the final wildcard spot in the NL with only 12 games remaining and would have to leapfrog five teams. Miami’s three-game winning streak was snapped in Monday’s loss. The Marlins are 16 ½ games behind first in the NL East, but are just a half game behind the final wildcard qualifying spot. New York will play without seven pitchers as well as position players Brett Baty and Starling Marte. Miami will play without six pitchers as well as position players Jonathan Davis and Avisail Garcia.

New York has struggled at the plate all season

The New York Mets need to find a few more productive hitters over the off-season. New York is 17th in on base percentage with .319 while 18th in slugging percentage at .407 and 20th in runs scored with 661. The Mets have a team batting average of .239 which is 25th. Pete Alonso has 45 home runs and 112 RBI which leads New York in both. Francisco Lindor has been very productive this season with 33 doubles, which leads the Mets, two triples, 26 home runs and 87 RBI. Lindor is second in both home runs and RBI.


On the mound, New York has the 13th most Quality Starts with 54. The Mets are 18th in both team ERA at 4.33 and batting average allowed at .247, while 21st in WHIP at 1.36. Wednesday's starting pitcher Kodai Senga is leading New York in victories with 11 and in strikeouts with 191. The 30-year-old right-hander is 11-7 with an ERA of 2.95.

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Miami hits for an average but lacks in power and driving in runs

The Miami Marlins have the sixth best team batting average in baseball at .258 but drop to 19th in slugging percentage at .406 and 24th in runs scored with 630. Miami's on base percentage is 21st at .314. Jorge Soler is the team leader in home runs with 36 and in RBI with 74. Bryan De La Cruz  (questionable) is second in home runs with 19 and is tied with Soler for the lead in RBI with 74. Miami has hit 242 doubles, 22 triples and 157 in 151 games.

Miami is 15th or 16th in four major pitching categories. Miami is 15th in batting average at .244 while 16th in ERA at 4.18, in WHIP at 1.28 and in Quality Starts with 49. Jesus Luzardo is leading Miami in victories with 10 and in strikeouts with 194. Miami will hand the ball to Eury Perez on Wednesday. The 20 year old rookie right hander is 5-5 with an ERA of 3.06  and 106 strikeouts

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


New York has won five of its last seven and when playing against Miami, the Mets have won five of the last six. New York also plays well in South Florida, winning six of the last seven on the road versus Miami. New York starting pitcher Kodai Senga has had five consecutive strong outings allowing three runs in 32 ⅔ innings and the Mets have won three of the five. Senga faced Miami in the first two weeks of the season on two occasions allowing just two runs in 11 ⅓ innings with New York winning both of the games over the Marlins. Miami starting pitcher Eury Perez has had three consecutive below par starts allowing 14 hits and eight runs in just 14 ⅓ innings. Miami may have to play without Bryan De La Cruz, who is listed as questionable, and is second in both home runs and RBI for the Marlins.

Prediction: New York Mets

Full-Game Total Pick

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The total has finished under in five of the last seven games played between New York and Miami, in four of the last five games that New York has played on the road and in four the last five games that New York has played against an opponent from the National League East. Miami starting pitcher Eury Perez has a very respectable 3.06 ERA, while New York starting pitcher Kodai Senga has an even better ERA at 2.95.

Prediction: UNDER

Written By Kevin Vallego , "Kevin V."

Kevin grew up in a sports-only household. Every afternoon was set to watching any sport that was on T.V. After years of watching sports he got introduced to the betting world, and soon stats, trends, and odds were Kevin's best friends. Now, almost 2 decades later, His life revolves around sports, writing about them, and betting on them. We are glad to have Kevin on our Winners & Whiners & StatSalt teams and you should be happy that we have him as well.

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